:: Sunday, 12 October 2003 ::
Another Jenin "massacre"?
One to watch.
Up to 120 Palestinian homes in refugee camp flattened. Therefore up to 1500 innocent Palestinian civilians homeless. Eight dead in hospital. 50 injured. And approx. 41-49 tanks seen.
That is culled from the whole BBC piece. And the sources are natch from the Pals and their UN guy booster. Nobody else.
Now, the Jenin rubbish was that a whole refugee camp (refugee my arse - you cannot be a refugee if you never lived where you reckon you've had to seek refuge away from.....tortured syntax but you get the pikcha, yes?) was flattened and 500 civilians massacred.
The truth was 10% camp flattened, and 52 guilty combatants targetted deliberately and killed by Israeli military.
Soooo, let me consider the current situation in just the same way as the UN guy - ie pulling figures out of my arse but starting with basic Pal architecture as my guide.
We already know that 'hundreds of tanks' has become somewhere between 40-49 tanks now (cannot remember where I saw that). So we already know the traditional blurting of excess so favoured by Pals and UN has begun and is getting backtracked.
Now, we have in this BBC piece, 8 dead and over 50 injured (meaning somewhere between 51-60 incl injured).
We have somewhere between 40 and 49 tanks used
And we have 250-300 families each made homeless by destruction of apartment blocks which gives us 300 x 5 members of each family = 1500.
250-300 families in apartment blocks in Palestinian a refugee camp. Some camp, eh? But I digress. Let's talk the 300 families. Apparently they live in 120 'homes'. Apartments more like.
So we got 1500 people from 300 families living in 120 homes. That's two a half families in each home.
I know they are wogs and they like the whole extended family thing, but not the one and a half of not your family. Puhlease. They are wogs. Not coral.
Now, we have all seen the footage of Pal refugee camps. Pal refugee camps are not highrise heaven, so say each apartment block is 8 floors high. 120 apartments at 8 floors high, with, say, 4 apartments on each floor. Now we are at 4 apartment blocks of 8 floors high each with 4 apartments on each level to get to 120 families making up 1500 people.
Getting closer to the IDF figure for destruction of apartment blocks. Except 8 floors high is way too high. We are talking max 4 floors. We've all seen the footage.
So, it is more likely to be 4 blocks of flats of 4 floors high max with 4 flats on each floor and 5 people per family with 1 family per flat.
So we gotta 64 flats. 5 people each. 320 people say.
BBC world news is running hard with the 1500 figure. I have come to 320. Using Jenin as a guide I should come down to about 150 - 10%.
One to watch.
:: WB 6:05 pm [link+] ::